July 6, 2008
Ontario real estate: Cottage country woes
Ontario cottage country may be losing some of its part-time American residents. Preliminary reports out of cottage country show a huge uptick in cottages for sale and fewer U. S. buyers.
While there are no hard data, real estate brokers report they are not seeing the same type of activity from American buyers as they have over the past 10 years, thanks to a rising loonie, a sluggish U. S. economy and out-of-control gas prices.
U. S. citizens have been flocking to buy in Ontario since the province eliminated in the mid-1990s a special 20% land transfer tax that applied only to non-Canadians. John O’Rourke, president of Royal LePage Lakes of Muskoka, confirms gas prices alone are not reason enough for people to sell their cottages. He doesn’t see a panic. “We went through an episode like this with the tax and nobody sold,” says Mr. O’Rourke, referring to when the 20% tax was implemented. “There are some U. S. citizens trying to sell, but it’s not a large number. But the supply has gone up. It’s a buyer’s market.”
The real problem is the lack of American buyers. “The dollar is almost on par. We’re not getting too many calls. When the dollar was 60¢, 70¢ [compared to the U. S. dollar], the advantage was huge,” says the broker.
The Muskokas have long been an attractive summer home for Americans, but when Goldie Hawn and her husband, Kurt Russell, moved in and celebrity citings became common, the lake region north of Toronto took off. It didn’t hurt that the greenback’s strength compared with the loonie gave U. S. citizens a powerful incentive to buy.
Susan Pryke, the Mayor of the Township of Muskoka Lakes for the past eight years, says Ontario cottage country has always been popular with Americans as a getaway and she doesn’t believe that will change.
“Muskoka is easy to get to from New York and Pennsylvania. Even in the early days, there were trains that came up here and then you got on a steamboat. It was a natural fit. The early cottagers were Americans and supported the hotels that started here,” says Ms. Pryke.
Even today, the Muskoka area has a corner called “Little Pittsburgh,” which was set up by cottagers escaping Steeltown. Their descendants still summer there and Ms. Pryke doesn’t expect them to be leaving because of their long-established roots in the community.
But she does admit there are signs the U. S. presence has died down. “I don’t hear the American accents as much around town,” says the Mayor.
Judging by the fact he’s not getting many calls from Americans these days, Muskoka lawyer Bill Grimmett says volume is definitely down. “There are just not as many people buying,” says Mr. Grimmett. About 90% of the business out of his Port Carling, Ont., office is real estate.
But he doesn’t believe the sellers today are Americans taking profits from cottages that have appreciated in value. U. S. citizens who owned cottages have also made a healthy profit from the rise in the loonie, he notes. “The American family compounds stay in the family forever,” says Mr. Grimmett.
He agrees that the problem in cottage country is that there are no new American buyers. Even hockey players, who get paid in U. S. funds, are reconsidering major cottage purchases. “The hockey players are much more price-conscious than they used to be,” says Mr. Grimmett.
June 26, 2008
Time to take advantage of stabilizing cottage market?
Echoing the trend observed in Canadian cities this year, the country’s recreational property market is returning to a more normal state, with price increases moderating when compared to the frenetic pace experienced in 2007.
In almost all of the nation’s summer hotspots, prices have continued to rise in 2008, but at a considerably slower rate than in the previous year. This moderating trend bodes well for cottage seekers – particularly the young professionals who make up the single largest group of those planning or considering a cottage purchase (19%), according to the 2008 Royal LePage Recreational Property Report released today.
The 2008 Royal LePage Recreational Property Report comprises a nationwide research poll of Canadian cottage owner and buyer attitudes and actions, and an extensive 53-market analysis of recreational property prices, trends and activity in selected leisure markets across the country.
The survey showed that Canadians overwhelmingly see the benefit of owning real estate – be it a primary residence or a cottage; the survey found that nearly two-thirds (61%) of cottage owners and those who plan on buying a recreational property feel that buying a cottage is a better long-term investment than buying stocks, bonds or mutual funds. In fact, the survey revealed that 15 per cent of recreational property owners own more than one recreational property.
“Mirroring the trend we are seeing in urban real estate markets, recreational property prices continue to rise, albeit at a slower rate than in recent years,” said Phil Soper, president and CEO, Royal LePage Real Estate Services. “Improving supply has helped temper price increases this year, which will have a disproportionately favourable impact on cottage seekers when compared to their city counterparts. The Canadian recreational property market has been notoriously short of supply for several years.”
Added Soper: “The fact that an increasing number of young people are joining more mature adults in the quest for a recreational retreat comes as no surprise; today’s young adults are increasingly savvy when it comes to investments. The average age of first-time homeowners continues to drop. It’s only natural for this trend to spill over into the cottage market.”
Despite moderating prices, huge disparities continue to book end the country’s most expensive and most affordable properties. Recreational playgrounds that are frequented by Hollywood celebrities and Canada’s elite, such as Kelowna’s Okanagan Valley, The Muskokas, and Nova Scotia’s South Shore, boast properties that command price tags upwards of $1.5 million. For the more modest shopper, affordable abodes in areas including Parry Sound and Sudbury can be acquired for approximately $300,000. Hidden gems for under $100,000 can be found in Kingston and Haliburtan Highlands in Ontario, and throughout much of Atlantic Canada – however, at this price point; it will be rare for these properties to have water access.
A little more than half (54%) of cottage-craving Canucks, who are likely to buy or are planning to buy a recreational property, have budgeted to spend between $50,000 and $300,000. Some very modest will-be buyers will have to do a lot of searching to find their wilderness retreat, as 33 per cent of these respondents said they were looking to spend less than $50,000.
Putting the brakes on heading to cottage country?
The lure of the great outdoors and promise of rest and relaxation continue to trump rising gas prices, increased traffic congestion, and a changing real estate climate, as the number of Canadian cottage owners has remained steady over the past three years, at nine per cent.
However, reason (and a need to mind the bank account) is likely to outweigh passion this summer, as 19 per cent of cottage owners stated they would consider selling their properties if gas prices continue to rise; an increase of seven per cent since last summer. The poll also revealed that 33 per cent of recreational property owners said that the rising gas prices would impact the number of trips they take to the cottage this summer. On the flip side, local cottage rentals could see a spike in activity this summer, as rising fuel prices keep some families from flying to their summer vacation destinations.
Summer lovin’ replaced with summer siestas
It seems that the blazing weekend warrior has finally simmered down. Once known for their boundless levels of energy come Friday at 5 PM, a startling truth has now come to light: once at the cottage, their fire seems to flicker out. When it comes to activities at the cottage, a dramatic 45 per cent of cottage owners would rather catch up on sleep, than have a ‘romantic liaison’ with their partner.
Given most people’s hectic social schedules in the city and busy work demands, it’s little surprise that catching up on sleep at the cottage is placed at a premium; for some cottage-goers, R&R will be hard to come by, as 16 per cent of respondents won’t be able to escape the rat race, claiming they will continue to work from the cottage.
Additional Findings:
When asked, “How do you plan to unplug yourself from the wired work world while enjoying your recreational property,” the top two responses included: there won’t be Internet access at the cottage (24%) and I won’t take my Blackberry or cell to the cottage (17%).
Among cottage owners, and those who plan to buy a cottage, 11 per cent spent or will spend more on their vacation property, than on their primary residence; 35 per cent plan to spend between $50,000 and $150,000.
While there are an infinite number of elements that make a recreational property special, Canadians list the top three most important features to be a pristine waterfront, four-season capability, and low maintenance properties.